SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 76.53%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 7.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (11.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Panetolikos |
76.53% ( 1.22) | 16.1% ( -0.81) | 7.37% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 37.73% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( 1.97) | 46.68% ( -1.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( 1.82) | 68.95% ( -1.82) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.61% ( 0.85) | 10.39% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.09% ( 1.9) | 33.91% ( -1.9) |
| Panetolikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.1% ( 0.19) | 57.89% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.46% ( 0.1) | 89.54% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Panetolikos |
| 2-0 @ 15.42% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.65)3-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.23)5-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.16)6-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.4% Total : 76.52% | 1-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.52)2-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 16.1% | 0-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.05% Total : 7.37% |
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