SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panetolikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
23.99% ( -0.08) | 24.76% ( -0.07) | 51.25% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.42% ( 0.22) | 50.57% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( 0.2) | 72.49% ( -0.2) |
| Panetolikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% ( 0.05) | 35.78% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.44% ( 0.05) | 72.56% ( -0.05) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% ( 0.15) | 19.73% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.25% ( 0.25) | 51.75% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panetolikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 23.99% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 9.3% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 51.24% |
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