SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panserraikos win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panserraikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panserraikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panserraikos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
39.86% ( -0.51) | 26.54% ( 0.13) | 33.59% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.21% ( -0.44) | 52.78% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.59% ( -0.38) | 74.41% ( 0.38) |
| Panserraikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( -0.47) | 25.97% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% ( -0.64) | 60.99% ( 0.64) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( 0.03) | 29.68% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( 0.03) | 65.73% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panserraikos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.86% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.59% |
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