SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 73.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 8.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.45%) and 3-0 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
73.99% ( -0.08) | 17.28% ( 0.04) | 8.73% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 40.07% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.82% ( -0.08) | 47.19% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.58% ( -0.07) | 69.42% ( 0.07) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.81% ( -0.04) | 11.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.3% ( -0.09) | 35.7% ( 0.09) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.12% ( 0.03) | 54.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.19% ( 0.02) | 87.82% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 2-0 @ 14.73% 1-0 @ 13.45% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 73.99% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 17.28% | 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.52% Total : 8.73% |
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