SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Atromitos had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Atromitos win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Atromitos |
40.67% ( 0.06) | 27.33% ( 0.03) | 31.99% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.18% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.77% ( -0.15) | 56.23% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.72% ( -0.12) | 77.27% ( 0.12) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( -0.04) | 27.14% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( -0.04) | 62.53% ( 0.04) |
| Atromitos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( -0.14) | 32.49% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% ( -0.16) | 69.01% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Atromitos |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 40.66% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.99% |
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