SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panserraikos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
25.77% ( -1.08) | 26.38% ( -0.11) | 47.85% ( 1.19) |
| Both teams to score 48.46% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% ( -0.28) | 55.46% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( -0.23) | 76.65% ( 0.23) |
| Panserraikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.1% ( -1.06) | 36.9% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.31% ( -1.07) | 73.69% ( 1.08) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( 0.43) | 23.2% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.91% ( 0.63) | 57.09% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panserraikos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.78% Total : 25.77% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.33)1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.75% Total : 47.84% |
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