SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Airdrieonians |
38.35% ( 0.05) | 25.65% ( 0.14) | 36% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% ( -0.63) | 48.64% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% ( -0.58) | 70.75% ( 0.57) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.1% ( -0.26) | 24.9% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.48% ( -0.36) | 59.52% ( 0.36) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( -0.41) | 26.2% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.7% ( -0.55) | 61.3% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.35% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.3% Total : 36% |
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