SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Partick Thistle |
27.23% ( -0.53) | 23.54% ( -0.01) | 49.23% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.36% ( -0.36) | 42.64% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.96% ( -0.36) | 65.04% ( 0.36) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( -0.57) | 28.92% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.21% ( -0.71) | 64.79% ( 0.71) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.53% ( 0.07) | 17.47% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.06% ( 0.12) | 47.94% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.43% Total : 27.23% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.23% |
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