SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
40.16% ( -0.45) | 25.6% ( -0.06) | 34.24% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( 0.37) | 48.66% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( 0.33) | 70.77% ( -0.34) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( -0.07) | 23.95% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.81% ( -0.1) | 58.18% ( 0.09) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% ( 0.48) | 27.26% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.31% ( 0.63) | 62.69% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 3% Total : 34.24% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
