SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penafiel win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Lusitania had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penafiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Lusitania win it was 0-1 (7.49%).
| Result | ||
| Penafiel | Draw | Lusitania |
53.87% ( -0.21) | 25.21% ( 0.08) | 20.92% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.56% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.72% ( -0.18) | 55.28% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.5% ( -0.15) | 76.5% ( 0.15) |
| Penafiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( -0.16) | 20.52% ( 0.15) |
