Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moreirense win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw has a probability of 25.4% and a win for Penafiel has a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Penafiel win it is 0-1 (7.64%).
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