SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Hereford United |
36.07% ( -0.64) | 27.45% ( 0.04) | 36.49% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 49.5% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.86% ( -0.15) | 56.14% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.8% ( -0.12) | 77.21% ( 0.12) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( -0.46) | 29.77% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.16% ( -0.56) | 65.85% ( 0.57) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( 0.3) | 29.52% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% ( 0.36) | 65.53% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.06% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.48% |
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