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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Chester FC |
33.15% ( -3.77) | 27.2% ( 0.48) | 39.65% ( 3.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.91% ( -1.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% ( -2.24) | 55.46% ( 2.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( -1.87) | 76.65% ( 1.87) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( -3.47) | 31.31% ( 3.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.33% ( -4.22) | 67.67% ( 4.23) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% ( 0.84) | 27.34% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.21% ( 1.07) | 62.79% ( -1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.64)2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.64)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.57)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.5)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.31)Other @ 2.95% Total : 33.15% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.72)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.29)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( 1.17) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.9)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.45)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.17)Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.65% |
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