SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest South Shields win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | South Shields |
51.9% ( 0.05) | 23.74% ( -0.01) | 24.37% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.06% ( -0.01) | 45.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.75% ( -0.01) | 68.25% ( 0.01) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% ( 0.01) | 17.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.65% ( 0.02) | 48.35% ( -0.02) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( -0.04) | 32.93% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( -0.04) | 69.51% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | South Shields |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.65% Total : 51.9% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 2% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.37% |
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