Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrington Town win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warrington Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warrington Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough Sports | Draw | Warrington Town |
31.41% ( 3.63) | 26.41% ( 0.62) | 42.18% ( -4.24) |
Both teams to score 51.8% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2% ( -0.84) | 52.8% ( 0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.58% ( -0.73) | 74.42% ( 0.72) |
Peterborough Sports Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.86% ( 2.22) | 31.14% ( -2.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.53% ( 2.52) | 67.47% ( -2.52) |
Warrington Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.23% ( -2.41) | 24.77% ( 2.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.66% ( -3.49) | 59.34% ( 3.49) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough Sports | Draw | Warrington Town |
1-0 @ 9% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.75) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.41% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.86) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.68) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.35) Other @ 2.55% Total : 42.17% |
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