SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Barnsley |
49.33% ( 0.01) | 21.28% ( -0.01) | 29.39% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 68.76% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.87% ( 0.07) | 30.13% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.65% ( 0.08) | 51.35% ( -0.07) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.16% ( 0.03) | 12.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.8% ( 0.05) | 39.19% ( -0.05) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( 0.04) | 21.11% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.05% ( 0.06) | 53.95% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)5-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.33% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.39% |
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