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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
30.2% ( -0.48) | 23.65% ( 0.05) | 46.16% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 60.46% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% ( -0.48) | 41.23% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.38% ( -0.49) | 63.62% ( 0.49) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( -0.55) | 26.16% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.76% ( -0.74) | 61.24% ( 0.74) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% ( -0.01) | 18.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.93% ( -0.02) | 49.06% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.34% Total : 30.2% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.66% Total : 46.16% |
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