While Plymouth would probably take another point, that is not the case with Preston who cannot afford more dropped points. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to throw caution to the wind in the latter stages in order to secure a maximum return.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
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