SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Preston North End in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Preston North End.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
42.92% ( -0.34) | 25.18% ( 0.04) | 31.9% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 56.01% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.56% ( -0.08) | 47.44% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.34% ( -0.07) | 69.66% ( 0.08) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( -0.19) | 22.07% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.59% ( -0.29) | 55.42% ( 0.29) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% ( 0.16) | 28.14% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.19% ( 0.2) | 63.82% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.9% |
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