Villarreal have been full of goals this season and that should again be the case on Tuesday night. Yellow Submarine head coach Marcelino will rest a number of important players, but the La Liga side should have far too much quality for their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Poblense had a probability of 11.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Poblense win it was 2-1 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Poblense	Draw	Villarreal
11.29%	16.8%	71.91%

Both teams to score 51.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.91%

37.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.72%

59.28%

Poblense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.9%

43.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.63%

79.37%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.95%

9.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.2%

30.8%

Score Analysis

Poblense 11.29%

Villarreal 71.91%

Draw 16.8%

Poblense	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 3.32% 1-0 @ 3.28% 2-0 @ 1.38% 3-2 @ 1.12% 3-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.25% Total : 11.29%	1-1 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 3.99% 0-0 @ 3.9% Other @ 1.02% Total : 16.8%	0-2 @ 11.25% 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-1 @ 9.37% 0-3 @ 9.01% 1-3 @ 7.59% 0-4 @ 5.41% 1-4 @ 4.56% 2-3 @ 3.19% 0-5 @ 2.6% 1-5 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.92% 0-6 @ 1.04% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.39% Total : 71.91%