SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 12.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
71.06% ( -0.02) | 16.64% ( -0.15) | 12.3% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 56.02% ( 1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.63% ( 1.24) | 33.36% ( -1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.85% ( 1.41) | 55.14% ( -1.41) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.68% ( 0.31) | 8.31% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.01% ( 0.76) | 28.98% ( -0.76) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.1% ( 1.11) | 38.9% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.37% ( 1.03) | 75.63% ( -1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
| 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.17)1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.12)5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.08)6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.22% Total : 71.06% | 1-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.64% | 1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.69% Total : 12.3% |
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