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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
LP

Villarreal
3 - 1
Las Palmas

Pepe (45'), Barry (84'), Baena (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Silva (47')
Suarez (29'), Horkas (50'), Silva (52'), Januzaj (90+10')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Espanyol 1-2 Villarreal
Thursday, September 26 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Betis
Thursday, September 26 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-0 Las Palmas

Las Palmas enjoyed their meetings with Villarreal last season, but we are finding it very difficult to back the visitors to pick up a positive result on Monday night. Villarreal have made a strong start to the campaign, and the Yellow Submarine should win this without any major drama. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawLas Palmas
48.82% (2.056 2.06) 24.08% (-0.219 -0.22) 27.11% (-1.839 -1.84)
Both teams to score 56.73% (-0.663 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.84% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)45.15% (0.238 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-0.232 -0.23)67.5% (0.229 0.23)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.738 0.74)18.59% (-0.74 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13% (1.227 1.23)49.87% (-1.229 -1.23)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-1.462 -1.46)30.32% (1.46 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (-1.778 -1.78)66.5% (1.777 1.78)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 48.82%
    Las Palmas 27.11%
    Draw 24.07%
VillarrealDrawLas Palmas
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.158 0.16)
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.315 0.32)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.443 0.44)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.211 0.21)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.347 0.35)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.139 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.186 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.82%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.326 -0.33)
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.294 -0.29)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 27.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Espanyol 1-2 Villarreal
Thursday, September 26 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-5 Barcelona
Sunday, September 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, September 14 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Villarreal
Saturday, August 31 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 4-3 Celta Vigo
Monday, August 26 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Villarreal
Friday, August 23 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Betis
Thursday, September 26 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, September 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 2-3 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, September 15 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 2-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, August 29 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Leganes 2-1 Las Palmas
Sunday, August 25 at 6pm in La Liga


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