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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4
Aug 13, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
0 - 2
Radomiak Radom


Gustafsson (40')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Semedo (20'), Cichocki (27')
Semedo (39'), Raphael (45'), Henrique (69')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Radomiak Radom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gent 5-0 Szczecin
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 0-1 Cracovia
Saturday, August 5 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawRadomiak Radom
52.39% (0.41200000000001 0.41) 23.3% (-0.114 -0.11) 24.31% (-0.305 -0.31)
Both teams to score 56.57% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.9% (0.206 0.21)44.09% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.52% (0.202 0.2)66.47% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (0.22499999999999 0.22)16.84% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.16% (0.40199999999999 0.4)46.83% (-0.408 -0.41)
Radomiak Radom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)31.97% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (-0.162 -0.16)68.43% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 52.39%
    Radomiak Radom 24.31%
    Draw 23.29%
Pogon SzczecinDrawRadomiak Radom
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 52.39%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 24.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gent 5-0 Szczecin
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Szczecin 3-2 Linfield
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Szczecin 2-1 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, July 30 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Linfield 2-5 Szczecin
Thursday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-1 Szczecin
Friday, July 21 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Brondby 4-0 Szczecin
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 0-1 Cracovia
Saturday, August 5 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, July 30 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gornik 0-2 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, July 23 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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