Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.