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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Luton Town |
51.91% ( 3.62) | 23.1% ( -0.42) | 24.99% ( -3.2) |
| Both teams to score 58% ( -1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.45% ( -0.66) | 42.55% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( -0.67) | 64.96% ( 0.67) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( 1.09) | 16.45% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.87% ( 1.94) | 46.14% ( -1.93) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( -2.74) | 30.59% ( 2.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% ( -3.38) | 66.82% ( 3.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Luton Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.58)2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.8)3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.35)3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.64)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.25)4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.36)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.91% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.3)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.58) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.46)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.45)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.31)Other @ 2.95% Total : 24.99% |
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