SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Portsmouth |
24.78% ( -17.04) | 23.17% ( -1.19) | 52.05% ( 18.23) |
| Both teams to score 57.53% ( -2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.93% ( 0.08) | 43.07% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.53% ( 0.07) | 65.47% ( -0.08) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( -10.28) | 31.03% ( 10.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.65% ( -13.95) | 67.34% ( 13.95) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( 8.29) | 16.58% ( -8.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.62% ( 13.1) | 46.38% ( -13.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 2-1 @ 6.33% ( -2.55) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( -2.1)2-0 @ 3.52% ( -2.86)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -2.18)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -1.02)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -1.97)Other @ 2.84% Total : 24.78% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.49)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 1.86) 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 2.06)0-2 @ 8.31% ( 3.31)1-3 @ 5.82% ( 2.18)0-3 @ 4.98% ( 2.66)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.54)1-4 @ 2.62% ( 1.35)0-4 @ 2.24% ( 1.43)2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.53)1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.59)Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.05% |
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