SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Celta Vigo |
40.88% ( 3.09) | 24.96% ( 0.37) | 34.16% ( -3.46) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( -1.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.19% ( -2.13) | 45.81% ( 2.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.87% ( -2.05) | 68.13% ( 2.05) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( 0.61) | 22.34% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% ( 0.9) | 55.83% ( -0.9) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( -2.9) | 25.95% ( 2.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.05% ( -4.08) | 60.95% ( 4.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.9)2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.78)3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.44)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.25)0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.51)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.48) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.55)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.42)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.31)Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.16% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
