SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Brest had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
63.48% ( 0.4) | 20.15% ( 0.11) | 16.37% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 54.23% ( -1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.03% ( -1.47) | 40.97% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.63% ( -1.51) | 63.37% ( 1.52) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.73% ( -0.33) | 12.27% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.98% ( -0.7) | 38.02% ( 0.7) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( -1.51) | 38.18% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.05% ( -1.48) | 74.95% ( 1.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
| 2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.52)3-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.62% Total : 63.48% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.37% |
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