SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.18%) and 1-3 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
16.96% ( 0.34) | 18.33% ( 0.1) | 64.7% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 62.44% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.98% ( 0.15) | 31.01% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.59% ( 0.18) | 52.4% ( -0.18) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( 0.46) | 31.31% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.33% ( 0.53) | 67.66% ( -0.53) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.9% ( -0.06) | 9.1% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.09% ( -0.14) | 30.9% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.21% Total : 16.96% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.33% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 7.59% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 6.54% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 4.55% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.92% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 1.27% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.18% Total : 64.7% |
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