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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
PL

Brest
1 - 2
PSG

Honorat (43')
Belkebla (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Soler (37'), Mbappe (90')
Mbappe (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 PSG
Wednesday, March 8 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Brest 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

While the premature Champions League exit may well have a significant impact on PSG - more specifically, PSG's manager - this summer, the capital outfit do not have a history of letting European disappointment seep into domestic proceedings. PSG are unbeaten in their last five league matches immediately following their Champions League elimination, a run the capital club are expected to extend when they visit Brest, one of Ligue 1's worst home sides, this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.18%) and 1-3 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
16.96% (0.337 0.34) 18.33% (0.103 0.1) 64.7% (-0.438 -0.44)
Both teams to score 62.44% (0.381 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.98% (0.152 0.15)31.01% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.59% (0.18 0.18)52.4% (-0.176 -0.18)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.69% (0.464 0.46)31.31% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.33% (0.535 0.53)67.66% (-0.533 -0.53)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.9% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)9.1% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.09% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)30.9% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Brest 16.96%
    Paris Saint-Germain 64.7%
    Draw 18.33%
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 4.6% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.31% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 1.92% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.78% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 16.96%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.065 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 18.33%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.18% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 7.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.54% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 4.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.41% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 3.92% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-4 @ 2.64% (0.017 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-5 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-4 @ 1.02% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 64.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Brest
Friday, February 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-2 Monaco
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Brest
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lens
Sunday, February 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Brest
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 PSG
Wednesday, March 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 4-2 Nantes
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-3 Lille
Sunday, February 19 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Monaco 3-1 PSG
Saturday, February 11 at 4pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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