SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.18%) and 1-3 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
16.96% ( 0.34) | 18.33% ( 0.1) | 64.7% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 62.44% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.98% ( 0.15) | 31.01% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.59% ( 0.18) | 52.4% ( -0.18) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( 0.46) | 31.31% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.33% ( 0.53) | 67.66% ( -0.53) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.9% ( -0.06) | 9.1% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.09% ( -0.14) | 30.9% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.21% Total : 16.96% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.33% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 7.59% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 6.54% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 4.55% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.92% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 1.27% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.18% Total : 64.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 75 |
| 2 | Marseille | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 70 |
| 3 | Lens | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 69 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 66 | 50 | 16 | 61 |
| 5 | Lille | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 56 |
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Clermont | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 49 |
| 9 | Nice | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 48 |
| 10 | Lorient | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 48 |
| 11 | Reims | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 47 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 43 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 55 | -24 | 33 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 | NantesNantes | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Brest | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 18 | Troyes | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 22 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 33 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 22 |
| R | Angers | 33 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 72 | -45 | 14 |
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