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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
PL

Strasbourg
1 - 2
PSG

Bakwa (68')
Sissoko (27'), Mwanga (54'), Senaya (63'), Vieira (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbappe (31'), Asensio (49')
Hernandez (30')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Strasbourg 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Offensive incisiveness has come rather easily to Strasbourg over the past few weeks, but Vieira may very well opt to sacrifice his side's penchant for attacking in a bid to stifle an even more rampant PSG frontline. Such tactics will likely prove futile against Enrique's side, though, especially with a couple of esteemed names expected to return to the visitors' XI, and the champions have been winning for fun on the road since the start of October. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 15.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-0 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawParis Saint-Germain
15.19% (-2.859 -2.86) 19.55% (-0.556 -0.56) 65.26% (3.424 3.42)
Both teams to score 53.48% (-4.519 -4.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42% (-2.85 -2.85)40.58% (2.857 2.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (-2.987 -2.99)62.96% (2.994 2.99)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.55% (-5.172 -5.17)39.45% (5.179 5.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.85% (-5.168 -5.17)76.15% (5.175 5.18)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.34% (0.081999999999994 0.08)11.66% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.28% (0.17 0.17)36.72% (-0.162 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 15.19%
    Paris Saint-Germain 65.26%
    Draw 19.55%
StrasbourgDrawParis Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 4.28% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.28% (-0.665 -0.67)
2-0 @ 1.99% (-0.317 -0.32)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.465 -0.47)
3-1 @ 1.33% (-0.438 -0.44)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 15.19%
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.578 0.58)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.699 -0.7)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.329 -0.33)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.55%
0-2 @ 10.62% (1.388 1.39)
0-1 @ 9.89% (1.268 1.27)
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.61% (1.015 1.02)
1-3 @ 7.08% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-4 @ 4.09% (0.556 0.56)
1-4 @ 3.8% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.488 -0.49)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-5 @ 1.76% (0.244 0.24)
1-5 @ 1.63% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 65.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Avoine OCC 0-4 Strasbourg
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Lille
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 2-2 Brest
Sunday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Orleans 1-4 PSG
Saturday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lens 0-2 PSG
Sunday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Revel 0-9 PSG
Sunday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: PSG 2-0 Toulouse
Wednesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Trophee des Champions
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Metz
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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