SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pumas | Draw | Queretaro |
50.79% ( 0.36) | 24.61% ( 0.1) | 24.59% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.52% ( -0.82) | 49.47% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.49% ( -0.75) | 71.51% ( 0.75) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% ( -0.18) | 19.48% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.65% ( -0.29) | 51.34% ( 0.29) |
| Queretaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.34% ( -0.84) | 34.66% ( 0.85) |
