Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
0.53) 
-0.62) 
