SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%).
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Braga |
29.09% ( -0.02) | 22.48% ( -0.01) | 48.43% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 63.95% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.68% ( 0.04) | 36.32% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.55% ( 0.04) | 58.45% ( -0.04) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( 0) | 24.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.16% ( 0.01) | 58.84% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% ( 0.03) | 15.39% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.8% ( 0.05) | 44.2% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.09% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.08% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.71% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.91% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 4.02% Total : 48.43% |
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