SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 15.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Chaves |
64.46% ( 0.43) | 20.02% ( -0.01) | 15.52% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.94% ( -0.83) | 42.06% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.53% ( -0.84) | 64.46% ( 0.84) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.67% ( -0.13) | 12.32% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.87% ( -0.27) | 38.12% ( 0.27) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.06% ( -1.06) | 39.93% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.4% ( -0.98) | 76.59% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Chaves |
| 2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.32)2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.48% Total : 64.45% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.02% | 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.52% |
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