SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.3%) and 1-0 (4.78%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Qarabag FK in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Qarabag FK.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Hacken |
42.89% ( -0.31) | 21.51% ( -0.04) | 35.6% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 70.96% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.54% ( 0.3) | 28.46% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.69% ( 0.37) | 49.31% ( -0.37) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( 0.01) | 14.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.85% ( 0.02) | 42.14% ( -0.02) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.81% ( 0.3) | 17.18% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.55% ( 0.52) | 47.45% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Hacken |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.65% Total : 42.89% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.6% |
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