As Ludogorets do not tend to travel well in Europe, a tough trip to Tofiq Bahramov Stadium may see their losing streak away from home continue. Vastly experienced, Qarabag are similarly dominant domestically, and their fine Europa League run last term demonstrates just how dangerous they can be. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Qarabag FK	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
41.2%	24.91%	33.89%

Both teams to score 57.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.35%

45.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.02%

67.97%

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88%

22.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51%

55.49%

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97%

26.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.93%

61.06%

Score Analysis

Qarabag FK 41.2%

Ludogorets Razgrad 33.89%

Draw 24.91%

Qarabag FK	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
2-1 @ 8.82% 1-0 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.2%	1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.91%	1-2 @ 7.87% 0-1 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.34% Total : 33.89%