Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Henan had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Henan win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
-0.65) 
0.29) 
