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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 30
Nov 4, 2023 at 7.30am UK
Chengdu Sports Center
H

Shandong
5 - 1
Henan

Lisheng (11'), Jinghang (45+2', 46', 53'), Long (69')
Jinghang (33'), Wenneng (37'), Jadson (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Li (67' pen.)
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Shandong Taishan and Henan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shanghai Port 1-1 Shandong
Sunday, October 29 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 1-1 Changchun
Sunday, October 29 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 64.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong TaishanDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
64.61% (0.082000000000008 0.08) 19.56% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 15.84% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.06% (-0.275 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.72% (-0.253 -0.25)39.27% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.39% (-0.264 -0.26)61.61% (0.27 0.27)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.54% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)11.46% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.72% (-0.113 -0.11)36.28% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.19% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)37.81% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.42% (-0.267 -0.27)74.58% (0.27199999999999 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Shandong Taishan 64.6%
    Henan Songshan Longmen 15.84%
    Draw 19.56%
Shandong TaishanDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
2-0 @ 10.16% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.39% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 7.34% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.98% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 64.6%
1-1 @ 9.13% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.33% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.56%
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.21% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 15.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shanghai Port 1-1 Shandong
Sunday, October 29 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Incheon United 0-2 Shandong
Wednesday, October 25 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Changchun 0-3 Shandong
Friday, October 20 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shandong 0-1 Yokohama
Tuesday, October 3 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 2-1 Wuhan TT
Friday, September 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Dalian Pro 0-0 Shandong
Saturday, September 23 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 1-1 Changchun
Sunday, October 29 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 6-0 Cangzhou
Saturday, October 21 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Zhejiang 3-0 Henan
Saturday, September 30 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 0-0 Henan
Saturday, September 23 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 3-0 Sh. Shenhua
Saturday, September 16 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 3-1 Shanghai Port
Friday, August 25 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League


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