Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 64.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
Result | ||
Shandong Taishan | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
64.61% ( 0.08) | 19.56% ( 0.02) | 15.84% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.06% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.72% ( -0.25) | 39.27% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.39% ( -0.26) | 61.61% ( 0.27) |
Shandong Taishan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.54% ( -0.05) | 11.46% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.72% ( -0.11) | 36.28% ( 0.12) |
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.19% ( -0.27) | 37.81% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.42% ( -0.27) | 74.58% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Shandong Taishan | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.09% Total : 64.6% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.56% | 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 15.84% |
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