SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
50.57% ( -0.15) | 24.02% ( 0.03) | 25.4% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.35% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.75% ( -0.03) | 46.25% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.46% ( -0.03) | 68.54% ( 0.03) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( -0.07) | 18.32% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.58% ( -0.11) | 49.41% ( 0.12) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.76% ( 0.08) | 32.23% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.27% ( 0.09) | 68.72% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 50.57% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 25.4% |
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