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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.21%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
29.67% ( 0.03) | 29.17% ( 0.15) | 41.15% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 43.25% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.75% ( -0.48) | 63.25% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.35% ( -0.34) | 82.65% ( 0.35) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.03% ( -0.24) | 37.97% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.26% ( -0.24) | 74.74% ( 0.24) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( -0.34) | 30.26% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.57% ( -0.41) | 66.43% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.66% Total : 29.67% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 13.73% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.37% Total : 41.15% |
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