SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
45.64% ( 0.35) | 24.71% ( 0.04) | 29.66% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.66% ( -0.38) | 46.35% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.37% ( -0.36) | 68.63% ( 0.36) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( -0) | 20.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.2% ( -0) | 52.81% ( 0.01) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.45) | 29.09% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( -0.57) | 65.01% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.66% |
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