SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 55.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
55.28% ( -0.73) | 23.48% ( 0.47) | 21.24% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.07% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.81% ( -1.67) | 48.18% ( 1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( -1.55) | 70.34% ( 1.54) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.71% ( -0.86) | 17.28% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.37% ( -1.53) | 47.62% ( 1.52) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.95% ( -0.69) | 37.05% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.16% ( -0.69) | 73.83% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.73% Total : 55.28% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.24% |
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