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Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal de A Malata
LL

Racing de Ferrol
1 - 0
Leganes

Nacho (56')
Merino (19'), Castro (44'), Delmas (45'), Justo (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aguilar (21'), Nyom (70'), Gonzalez (74'), Raba (78')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Racing Club de Ferrol and Leganes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 5-4 Albacete
Sunday, December 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-0 Leganes
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 42.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 28.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing Club de Ferrol in this match.

Result
Racing Club de FerrolDrawLeganes
42.75% (0.282 0.28) 29.17% (-0.211 -0.21) 28.08% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 42.54% (0.489 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.23% (0.621 0.62)63.77% (-0.621 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.98% (0.44 0.44)83.02% (-0.44 -0.44)
Racing Club de Ferrol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (0.468 0.47)29.62% (-0.468 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (0.565 0.57)65.66% (-0.565 -0.56)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.44% (0.293 0.29)39.56% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.76% (0.272 0.27)76.24% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club de Ferrol 42.74%
    Leganes 28.08%
    Draw 29.16%
Racing Club de FerrolDrawLeganes
1-0 @ 14.25% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 42.74%
1-1 @ 13.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.71% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-2 @ 3.73% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.16%
0-1 @ 10.86% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 28.08%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 5-4 Albacete
Sunday, December 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Leganes 2-2 Racing de Ferrol
Sunday, November 26 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-1 Burgos
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 1-2 Racing de Ferrol
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-0 FC Andorra
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Marbella 1-3 Racing de Ferrol
Wednesday, November 1 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-0 Leganes
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Leganes 2-2 Racing de Ferrol
Sunday, November 26 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Valladolid 1-1 Leganes
Friday, November 17 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Leganes 2-1 Levante
Friday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-3 Leganes
Sunday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Llerenense 0-2 Leganes
Wednesday, November 1 at 11am in Copa del Rey


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