Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Leganes
29.88% ( -3.13)	27.79% ( -1.15)	42.33% ( 4.28)

Both teams to score 47.06% (

2.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.46% (

3.25)

58.54% (

-3.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.88% (

2.47)

79.11% (

-2.47)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.75% (

-0.56)

35.25% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28% (

-0.59)

72% (

0.59)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67% (

4.04)

27.33% (

-4.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.22% (

4.96)

62.78% (

-4.97)

Score Analysis

Cartagena 29.88%

Leganes 42.32%

Draw 27.79%

Cartagena	Draw	Leganes
1-0 @ 10.04% ( -1.48) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.86) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.88%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( -1.25) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.79%	0-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.71) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.79) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.66) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.68) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.32) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.32) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.32) Other @ 1.89% Total : 42.32%