SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Leganes |
29.88% ( -3.13) | 27.79% ( -1.15) | 42.33% ( 4.28) |
| Both teams to score 47.06% ( 2.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.46% ( 3.25) | 58.54% ( -3.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.88% ( 2.47) | 79.11% ( -2.47) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( -0.56) | 35.25% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28% ( -0.59) | 72% ( 0.59) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% ( 4.04) | 27.33% ( -4.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.22% ( 4.96) | 62.78% ( -4.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( -1.48) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.86)3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.33)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.88% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( -1.25)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.31)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.71)0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.79)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.66)0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.68)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.32)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.32)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.32)Other @ 1.89% Total : 42.32% |
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