Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 44.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 27.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Leganes |
44.65% ( 1.8) | 28.31% ( -0.48) | 27.03% ( -1.32) |
Both teams to score 44.12% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.51% ( 1) | 61.48% ( -1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.64% ( 0.74) | 81.35% ( -0.74) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.52% ( 1.45) | 27.48% ( -1.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.02% ( 1.83) | 62.98% ( -1.83) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.84% ( -0.54) | 39.15% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.13% ( -0.51) | 75.87% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Leganes |
1-0 @ 13.89% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.76% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.54) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 27.02% |
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