Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 44.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 27.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
1.8) 
-0.48) 
