Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 35.75%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.12%) and 2-1 (6.81%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (13.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.
-0.06) 
0.02) 
