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Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal de A Malata
SL

Racing de Ferrol
1 - 2
Sevilla

Manzanara (50')
Manzanara (66'), Parralo (67'), Gimenez (82'), Delgado (90+2')
Manzanara (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Marcao (30'), Sanchez (87')
Marcao (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valladolid 0-1 Racing de Ferrol
Thursday, December 21 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

We said: Racing Club de Ferrol 2-1 Sevilla

Even though they are out of Europe, Sevilla's focus may be on averting relegation fears in La Liga, and an out-of-sorts set of players may struggle against one of the strongest sides in the second tier. Ferrol have been exceptional at home this season, but this would be by far their best result yet, and with not much separating the sides in the league pyramid, there is nothing to suggest why they cannot pull it off. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Racing Club de FerrolDrawSevilla
36.11% (-0.164 -0.16) 26.22% (0.111 0.11) 37.66% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.46% (-0.378 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (-0.478 -0.48)51.14% (0.48 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (-0.421 -0.42)72.99% (0.423 0.42)
Racing Club de Ferrol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.324 -0.32)27.33% (0.326 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.422 -0.42)62.78% (0.425 0.43)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (-0.19 -0.19)26.43% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (-0.256 -0.26)61.6% (0.257 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club de Ferrol 36.11%
    Sevilla 37.66%
    Draw 26.22%
Racing Club de FerrolDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.138 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.39% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Valladolid 0-1 Racing de Ferrol
Thursday, December 21 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 3-1 Tenerife
Sunday, December 17 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Huesca 1-0 Racing de Ferrol
Sunday, December 10 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-0 Leganes
Thursday, December 7 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 5-4 Albacete
Sunday, December 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Leganes 2-2 Racing de Ferrol
Sunday, November 26 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, January 4 at 6.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 0-3 Sevilla
Tuesday, December 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 0-3 Getafe
Saturday, December 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Sevilla
Tuesday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in La Liga


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