SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
57.39% ( -5.29) | 22.02% ( 1.59) | 20.59% ( 3.7) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( 1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.35% ( -1.38) | 42.65% ( 1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.95% ( -1.39) | 65.05% ( 1.39) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% ( -2.04) | 14.63% ( 2.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.25% ( -4.07) | 42.75% ( 4.07) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( 3.2) | 34.54% ( -3.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.75% ( 3.25) | 71.25% ( -3.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.87)3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.51)3-0 @ 5.98% ( -1.07)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.5)4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.78)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.3)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.41)Other @ 2.87% Total : 57.39% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.43)0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.81) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.74)0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.6)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.43)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.28)Other @ 2.05% Total : 20.59% |
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