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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
SL

Granada
0 - 3
Sevilla


Gumbau (38'), Torrente (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pedrosa (23'), Ocampos (32'), Ramos (49')
Bueno (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Granada
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 0-3 Getafe
Saturday, December 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Granada 1-1 Sevilla

This is such a difficult match to call, as both sides have had very tough campaigns to date. Sevilla are in crisis mode, but Granada have only won once in the league this season, so it is difficult to back them, which has led to us predicting a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawSevilla
30.55% (-0.126 -0.13) 25.25% (0.058 0.06) 44.2% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.13% (-0.257 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.304 -0.3)48.31% (0.304 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.55% (-0.278 -0.28)70.45% (0.277 0.28)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53% (-0.241 -0.24)29.46% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.293 -0.29)65.47% (0.29300000000001 0.29)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)21.84% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)55.07% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Granada 30.55%
    Sevilla 44.2%
    Draw 25.25%
GranadaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.047 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.55%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.45% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Granada
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, December 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Granada
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 3-1 Granada
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Getafe
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Granada
Sunday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 0-3 Getafe
Saturday, December 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Sevilla
Tuesday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico Astorga 0-2 Sevilla
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Villarreal
Sunday, December 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-3 PSV
Wednesday, November 29 at 5.45pm in Champions League


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