Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
-0.6) 
0.23) 
